if not: The King's Speech
Both were tied for my favorite films of the year, but I think The Social Network has a slightly higher chance of winning.
Best Director: Tom Hooper - The King's Speech
if not: David Fincher - The Social Network
Best Actor: Colin Firth - The King's Speech
if not: Jesse Eisenberg - The Social Network
Best Actress: I only watched Winter's Bone, and Jennifer Lawrence did great
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale - The Fighter
if not: Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech
Best Supporting Actress: Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit
if not: Melissa Leo - The Fighter
Best Cinematography: The King's Speech
if not: Inception
Best Adapted Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin - The Social Network
if not: Joel and Ethan Coen - True Grit
Best Original Screenplay: David Sedler - The King's Speech
if not: Christopher Nolan - Inception